Energy Impacts of the Three Revolutions in Transportation – Vehicle Electrification, Automation, and Sharing

Columbia University, 420 West 118th St. NY, NY 10027

(Jul 2018) Energy Impacts of the Three Revolutions in Transportation – Vehicle Electrification, Automation, and Sharing

On July 19, 2018, the Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy and the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Davis held a joint workshop on the energy impacts of the three revolutions in transportation – vehicle electrification, automation and sharing. Columbia’s Center on Global Energy Policy is conducting a multi-year on peak oil demand and this workshop helped to inform this study. The workshop was held on the Columbia University Campus in New York City.

Agenda

8:00am – 9:00am Registration/Networking/Light Breakfast

9:00am – 9:10am Welcome and Introduction

Jason Bordoff, Founding Director, Center on Global Energy Policy, (CGEP) Columbia University Marianne Kah, Adjunct Senior Research Scholar, CGEP

9:10am – 9:45am Keynote

Dan Sperling, Founding Director, Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California at Davis (UC Davis) and recent author of the book, Three Revolutions: Steering Automated, Shared, and Electric Vehicles to a Better Future

9:45am – 10:45am

Electrification, EV Trends & Battery Cost Projections: The Path to $100/kWh

    • Lew Fulton, Co-Director, Sustainable Transportation Energy Pathways (STEPS) Program, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis (Moderator)
    • Nic Lutsey, Program Director, International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT)
      • EV penetration scenarios and battery cost trends
    • Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Associate Director & Senior Economist, The Energy Institute, University of Michigan & former Chief Economist, Ford
      • Auto manufacturers global strategies on EVs

10:45am – 11:30am

Focus on China: Transportation Electrification and Charging Infrastructure

    • David Sandalow, Inaugural Fellow, CGEP, Columbia University (Moderator)
    • Yunshi Wang, Director, China Center for Energy & Transportation, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis
      • Electrification policies in China, What has and hasn’t worked?
    • Anders Hove, Associate Director, Research, Paulson Institute in China - Electric charging infrastructure
      • Goals, progress and challenges

11:30am –11:45am Coffee break

11:45am – 12:45pm

Vehicle Automation and Energy Impacts

  • Future scenarios and costs of automation
  • What is the likely transition and timing?
  • Will it increase or decrease energy / oil demand?
    • Marianne Kah,  Adjunct Senior Research Scholar, CGEP (Moderator)
    • Karim Hamza, Senior Research Scientist, Toyota Research Institute North America
      • Likely timing and cost
    • Robbie Diamond, Founder, President and CEO, Securing America's Future Energy
      • Will they be electric or not?
    • Paul Leiby, Distinguished Research Scientist, Oak Ridge National Lab
      • Energy/oil impacts

12:45pm – 1:15pm Lunch

1:15pm – 2:30pm

Shared Mobility and Energy Impacts

  • Shared mobility trends, including pooling, and how shared mobility could affect overall travel trends & energy use
    • Mollie D’Agostino, Policy Director, for the 3 Revolutions Future Mobility Program, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis (Moderator)
    • Michael Replogle - Deputy Commissioner for Policy, New York City Department of Transportation
      • Role of city governments in enabling shared mobility
    • Rohit Agarwalla, Head of Urban Systems, SideWalk Labs and Adjunct Professor of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University
      • Role of big data in developing a self-responding shared mobility network
    • Corey Ershow, Transportation Policy Manager, Lyft
      • Shared mobility principles and Lyft’s business model
    • Alexander Keros, Smart Cities Chief, General Motors Urban Mobility/Maven
      • Maven and the commercialization of advanced vehicle technologies

2:30pm – 3:30pm    

Three Revolutions Futures

  • What are the synergies and tensions between the three technology revolutions, from an energy perspective?
    • Dan Sperling, UC Davis (Moderator)
    • Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, The Energy Institute, University of Michigan
    • Ken Laberteaux, Senior Principal Research Scientist, Toyota Research Institute North America
    • Paul Leiby, Oak Ridge National Lab

3:30pm – 3:45pm  Coffee Break

3:45pm – 5:00pm Open Discussion

  • What does it all mean for energy use to 2030, 2050?  Other discussions topics, identify research needs
    • Amy Myers Jaffe, Director, Women in Energy Program, CGEP, Columbia University (Moderator)

5:00pm – 5:10pm  Closing remarks

5:10pm – 6:00pm Networking Reception

6:00pm – 8:00pm Dinner

  • Sumit Dutta, Partner, McKinsey Chicago
    • The impact of digitalization on the supply chain and the movement of goods and energy implications