CAV Workshop Agenda

Registration and Coffee

9:00 a.m.

Welcome to Participants and Introductions

9:15 a.m.

Session 1: Meeting Introduction - Modeling Travel Demand Impacts of AV Deployment

• Meeting overview and objectives
• When AVs become reality: Discussion of AV deployment timeline and next steps
• Which AV business models: Discussion of various business models
• What transition years will look like: Discussion of transition paths and future implications

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

10:30 p.m.

Coffee Break

10:45 a.m.

Session 2: The Big Picture - Overall Modeling Structure and Planning Applications

• Do we have the right tools? Discussion of model assumptions, future scenarios and data availability
• What we can model and what we cannot: Model components, limitations and boundaries
• Applications for planning agencies and dealing with uncertainties: Discussion of applications of modeling frameworks for planning agencies

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

12:30 p.m.

Lunch Break

1:30 p.m.

Session 3: Impacts on Road Capacity and Changes in the Transportation Network

• How AVs will affect travel time and safety: Discussion of the changes in transportation supply and network capacity
• The role of connectivity: Opportunities offered by V2V and V2I from intersection to network capacity
• Changes in traffic assignment and network modeling: Modification required to better model CAV deployment

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

3:15 p.m.

Coffee Break

3:30 p.m.

Session 4: Value of Travel Time and Time-Use/Activity Patterns

• Changes in value of travel time: Discussion of the changes in subjective value of time and induced demand
• Individual activity patterns in the era of AV: Discussion of the modifications required to model the changes in activity patterns (including individuals with reduced mobility)
• How people will use their “saved time”: How activity-based and other travel demand modeling tools can capture the effects of AVs on individual time use

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

5:15 p.m.

Last Thoughts and Wrap-up of Day 1

6:00 p.m.

Dinner at Our House Restaurant, 808 Second Street, Davis, CA

8:30 a.m.

Coffee

9:00 a.m.

Session 5: Mode Choice

• How to model mode choice in the AV future: Discussion of modifications to introduce in travel demand models to account for AV options
• New modes enabled by shared mobility and automation: How to model shared vs. personally-owned automated vehicles, the future of public transportation, new options in individuals’ choice set
• How to update existing models: Discussion of the steps required to update large-scale travel demand models

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

10:45 a.m.

Coffee Break

11:00 a.m.

Session 6: The Future of Vehicle Ownership

• Early adopters: Discussion of the factors affecting AV adoption and willingness to pay
• Cost of AV ownership/use: How it will differ from the cost of owning/using a conventional vehicle
• Household vehicle ownership: Discussion of the steps required to update vehicle ownership model components

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

12:30 p.m.

Lunch Break

1:30 p.m.

Session 7: Long-distance Travel

• How long-distance travel will change with AVs: Discussion of changes in long-distance trips
• The future of air travel: Discussion of conditions under which AVs can become competitive alternatives to air travel and other options (e.g. HSR) for long-distance trips

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

2:45 p.m.

Coffee Break

3:00 p.m.

Session 8: Land Use and Other Long-Term Decisions

• How residential location choices might change as AVs become available: Discussion of changes in residential location choices for various AV business models
• Future urban form and location of primary and secondary destinations: What do we know about future cities (e.g. retail vs. residential space) and the required changes in destination choice models
• The future of parking: Discussion of the changes in parking infrastructure and curbside management

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

4:30 p.m.

Wrap-up: Future Travel Demand - GHG, Energy and VMT

• VMT, GHG and energy impacts: How will they change, and how to model them
• Future vehicle fleet: What assumptions to make on efficiency standards, ZEV mandates, etc.

Short presentations and discussion with expert participants

5:30 p.m.

Happy Hour and Goodbye